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14 articles in the archive

• Big Data, Deep Roots

  I scraped 31.6 million records. Ancestry predicted surname status at r = 0.9.

  sociology · HBD

• How Genetic is Lifelong Inceldom?

  The quantitative genetic and molecular landscape of lifelong sexlessness.

  sociology · HBD

• Ancient Genomes & Cold Winters

  Testing cold winters theory against 21,000 years of winter temperatures and ancient polygenic scores. Partial support.

  HBD

• Dawn of the Silicon Gods

  Evidence that AI capabilities are accelerating: doubling progress, emergent reasoning, and why bubble skeptics are wrong.

  AI · IQ · economics

• White by Default: Bias in Criminal Racial Assignment

  Misclassification Inflates White Rates 4-6%, Deflates Hispanic Rates 20-31%: Evidence from 1.5 Million Records

  criminology

• Would Eugenics Work? Positive Eugenics Simulation

  Employing quantitative genetics and the UN's cohort component method we estimate the impact of a positive eugenics policy.

  IQ · timeseries · HBD

• Scraping 2 Million Substack Articles

  What predicts Substack success: pricing, post frequency, word count, and category, from millions of posts and thousands of publications.

  economics

• Smart Extinction? Global IQ and Innovation Decline

  Dysgenics and declining fertility predict a 73% drop in high-IQ populations and halved global innovation by 2100.

  IQ · timeseries · HBD

• Detecting Pedos with AI & Mugshots

  A deep learning physiognomy model that distinguishes predatory pedophilia, trained on 1.2 million criminal mugshots.

  criminology

• AI Makes Us Stupid, Smart

  AIs enhance job performance equivalent to a >15 IQ point gain. Least competent see greatest gains.

  AI · IQ · economics

• Are Incels Rising? Global Edition

  International data tells a different story from the US: dating apps, smartphones, and gender theories all fall flat.

  sociology

• Debunking 'Declining Worldwide Innovation'

  Replicating Huebner's method with historical figures reveals no innovation decline, just selection bias in his single source book.

  economics

• Trying to Beat the UN at Forecasting Fertility

  An attempted successor to the UN's fertility forecasting methodology, with unexpected results.

  IQ · timeseries

• Are Incels Rising?

  Three major US datasets confirm rising sexlessness in youth, but inequality is more relative than absolute.

  sociology