Uncorrelated
Independent quantitative research.
Big Data, Deep Roots
I scraped 31.6 million records. Ancestry predicted surname status at r = 0.9.
Archive
How Genetic is Lifelong Inceldom?
The quantitative genetic and molecular landscape of lifelong sexlessness.
Ancient Genomes & Cold Winters
Testing cold winters theory against 21,000 years of winter temperatures and ancient polygenic scores. Partial support.
Dawn of the Silicon Gods
Evidence that AI capabilities are accelerating: doubling progress, emergent reasoning, and why bubble skeptics are wrong.
White by Default: Bias in Criminal Racial Assignment
Misclassification Inflates White Rates 4-6%, Deflates Hispanic Rates 20-31%: Evidence from 1.5 Million Records
Would Eugenics Work? Positive Eugenics Simulation
Employing quantitative genetics and the UN's cohort component method we estimate the impact of a positive eugenics policy.
Scraping 2 Million Substack Articles
What predicts Substack success: pricing, post frequency, word count, and category, from millions of posts and thousands of publications.
Smart Extinction? Global IQ and Innovation Decline
Dysgenics and declining fertility predict a 73% drop in high-IQ populations and halved global innovation by 2100.
Detecting Pedos with AI & Mugshots
A deep learning physiognomy model that distinguishes predatory pedophilia, trained on 1.2 million criminal mugshots.
AI Makes Us Stupid, Smart
AIs enhance job performance equivalent to a >15 IQ point gain. Least competent see greatest gains.
Are Incels Rising? Global Edition
International data tells a different story from the US: dating apps, smartphones, and gender theories all fall flat.
Debunking 'Declining Worldwide Innovation'
Replicating Huebner's method with historical figures reveals no innovation decline, just selection bias in his single source book.
Trying to Beat the UN at Forecasting Fertility
An attempted successor to the UN's fertility forecasting methodology, with unexpected results.
Are Incels Rising?
Three major US datasets confirm rising sexlessness in youth, but inequality is more relative than absolute.