Uncorrelated

Uncorrelated. My aim is to make each post as independent as possible from the others. This approach maximizes learning, not only for readers, but also for myself as I write these articles.

Despite this independence, I generally focus on human evolution (dysgenics), sociology, demographics, and HBD. I prefer to take a quantitative approach to each topic, using statistical analysis

Topics

Dawn of the Silicon Gods: The Complete Quantified Case

Dec 29, 2025 – · ·

Uncorrelated

AI capabilities are accelerating faster than most realize, driven by a fundamental shift in training methods. Reinforcement learning produced emergent reasoning nobody programmed. Fluid reasoning now matches average human performance. Autonomous task completion improves exponentially. The bubble arguments don’t hold: adoption is real, productivity gains are measurable, and demand outpaces supply.

White by Default: Systematic Bias in U.S. Criminal Racial Assignment

Nov 10, 2025 – ·

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We trained a model on 1.5 million criminal records to predict race using mugshots and names achieving 92.76% accuracy. An accurate linear model trained on biased data learns the true signal, with deviations indicating mislabeling rather than model error. 29% of predicted Hispanics are misclassified as White. Correcting this increases Hispanic criminal record rates by 20-31% and decreases White rates by 4-6%.

Would Eugenics Work? Simulating Positive Eugenics Targeting IQ

Jul 04, 2025 – · ·

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In this post we review whether eugenics, even if popular, would work. We employ quantitative genetics, simulations and the UN’s cohort component method.

I Web scraped 2 Million Substack Articles. This is What I Learnt.

Apr 04, 2025 –

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We use data from millions of Substack posts and tens of thousands of publications to figure out what actually predicts success – from post frequency and pricing to word counts and category choice

Smart Extinction? Projecting the Future of Global Intelligence and Innovation

Mar 26, 2025 – · ·

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Examining how dysgenics and declining fertility are reshaping global intelligence distribution, with projections showing a 73% decline in high-IQ populations and halved innovation capacity by 2100

Pedo AI

Feb 22, 2025 –

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Introducing PedoAI. The first deep learning driven physiognomy model built to distinguish predatory pedophilia from a sample of 100,000 pedophiles and 100,000 non-pedophilic criminals.

AI Makes Us Stupid, Smart

Jan 25, 2025 –

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AI has democratized programming by effectively adding 25 IQ points to developers’ capabilities, with less competent programmers seeing the largest productivity gains. This reduced barrier to entry, combined with a surge in computer science graduates (credentialism), has led to widespread under-employment.

Incels Rising: International Edition

Jan 16, 2025 – ·

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Common explanations for rising loneliness and incels (dating apps, smartphones, gender dynamics) should apply globally. But if the phenomenon itself doesn’t exist outside the US, these explanations become irrelevant by default—you can’t explain an effect that isn’t there. The US-specific nature of the trend invalidates all theories.

Debunking Huebner's 'A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation'

Jan 07, 2025 –

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For decades this study was a staple proof for IQ dysgenics enthusiasts. It confirmed their suspicions that the West was in terminal intellectual decline since selection for fertility reversed in the 19th century. Here, we do our best to debunk this paper.

Lessons from Forecasting Fertility

Dec 22, 2024 – · · ·

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The UN’s methodology for forecasting fertility has remained largely unchanged. For many countries these forecasts are consistently inaccurate. Here, we attempt to produce a successor. The results could be described as unexpected.

Incels Rising

Apr 13, 2024 – ·

Uncorrelated

Over the past decade there has been significant discussion on the rise of sexlessness/incels. It’s reached meme proportions, with the infamous GSS plot, loved by grifters for clicks and puddle deep analysis, constantly cited as proof of a great loveless uprising. This post explores three datasets; the NSFG, YRBSS and the GSS to uncover the truth…