Machine-Learning

White by Default: Systematic Bias in U.S. Criminal Racial Assignment

White by Default: Systematic Bias in U.S. Criminal Racial Assignment

We trained a model on 1.5 million criminal records to predict race using mugshots and names achieving 92.76% accuracy. An accurate linear model trained on biased data learns the true signal, with deviations indicating mislabeling rather than model error. 29% of predicted Hispanics are misclassified as White. Correcting this increases Hispanic criminal record rates by 20-31% and decreases White rates by 4-6%.
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Pedo AI

Pedo AI

Introducing PedoAI. The first deep learning driven physiognomy model built to distinguish predatory pedophilia from a sample of 100,000 pedophiles and 100,000 non-pedophilic criminals.
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Lessons from Forecasting Fertility

Lessons from Forecasting Fertility

The UN’s methodology for forecasting fertility has remained largely unchanged. For many countries these forecasts are consistently inaccurate. Here, we attempt to produce a successor. The results could be described as unexpected.
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