Intelligence-Quotient

AI capabilities are accelerating faster than most realize, driven by a fundamental shift in training methods. Reinforcement learning produced emergent reasoning nobody programmed. Fluid reasoning now matches average human performance. Autonomous task completion improves exponentially. The bubble arguments don’t hold: adoption is real, productivity gains are measurable, and demand outpaces supply.

In this post we review whether eugenics, even if popular, would work. We employ quantitative genetics, simulations and the UN’s cohort component method.

Examining how dysgenics and declining fertility are reshaping global intelligence distribution, with projections showing a 73% decline in high-IQ populations and halved innovation capacity by 2100

The UN’s methodology for forecasting fertility has remained largely unchanged. For many countries these forecasts are consistently inaccurate. Here, we attempt to produce a successor. The results could be described as unexpected.