IQ

5 essays from the research archive.

• Dawn of the Silicon Gods

  Evidence that AI capabilities are accelerating: doubling progress, emergent reasoning, and why bubble skeptics are wrong.

  Dec 29, 2025 · 23 min read

• Would Eugenics Work? Positive Eugenics Simulation

  Employing quantitative genetics and the UN's cohort component method we estimate the impact of a positive eugenics policy.

  Jul 4, 2025 · 23 min read

• Smart Extinction? Global IQ and Innovation Decline

  Dysgenics and declining fertility predict a 73% drop in high-IQ populations and halved global innovation by 2100.

  Mar 26, 2025 · 21 min read

• AI Makes Us Stupid, Smart

  AIs enhance job performance equivalent to a >15 IQ point gain. Least competent see greatest gains.

  Jan 25, 2025 · 9 min read

• Trying to Beat the UN at Forecasting Fertility

  An attempted successor to the UN's fertility forecasting methodology, with unexpected results.

  Dec 22, 2024 · 26 min read